For many, this weekend starts a long holiday / vacation period.  For all of us, wx models are going hot.  Change is always to be expected in long-range outlooks, such is the case as July gets underway tomorrow.  Here’s the latest…

Warm-to-hot summer pattern setting in (bye bye coolness) with temps beginning to climb into the 90s in many locations as the 4th of July approaches.  The Puget Sound area may remain in the 80s in most places, although we see indications that lower 90s are probable on the 4th & 5th.  

It will be quite windy in the afternoons the next few days, helping folks to ‘feel’ a tad cooler; however, the winds will decrease by the 4th, as that heat builds.  Beach goers will be dealing with blowing sand. 

As noted, the warmest days are likely to be next Tue & Wed, with an extension of the heat now trending on the latest charts for Thu & Fri, esp for western OR.  We also see indications that the heat pattern will expend into southern BC next week, as well.  FIRE issues will be critical, so please adhere to forest service postings, if camping.

Expect the DRY pattern to hold all the way through the weekend of July 8,9.  There is a slight chance for showers north of Chehalis after the 10th, but that’s too far out to peg a ‘for sure’ at this time.  It will be cooler for all locations July 10-15, as that “slow to arrive” cool air finally gets here.  An onshore flow will cool things down nicely.  We hope.

We will post a forecast on the 3rd, so stop by with your morning Mug.

Most notable change since our last write-up is a delay in the arrival of cooler air.  Big holiday coming soon, so Mug up and let’s take a look.

Sunny weather will continue, but rather than cooling down for an extended period this coming holiday period, temperatures will tease the upper 80s & 90s in many areas.  The cooler air mass from the NW will be delayed until after the 4th of July holiday.  (Swimming could be great after all.)

The models are trending for a much cooler pattern, with the chance for showers, starting around July 5 or 6.  Breezy.  The coolness should last through the weekend of July 8,9.  Afterward, we should begin to warm back up into normal mid-summer heat.

Greetings, Patron.  Thanks for stopping by this summer day.  Good weather ahead; good beverage in hand.

Not much change from our last report - as plenty of sunshine and a trend towards cooler temperatures are still on the charts.  For the next 7 days, we can expect onshore breezes to hold summer temps down in the 70s to low 80s, depending on your locations (cooler zones around the Puget Sound).  No broad precipitation is expected, other than under a wandering thunderstorm this afternoon along the Cascades and even over the NW corner of OR (Portland included) today the 23rd.  The breezes should let up a bit Sat & Sunday, but increase again as next week progresses, making it difficult for crop protection treatments.  

July begins next weekend.  Wx outlook remains steady, with the onshore breeze continuing to hold temps down.  Current outlook also keeps the 4th of July dry, but on the cool side, given the pesky winds.  At least the wind will help quickly ‘clear the air’ if you are near firework action.  Morning marine clouds are possible each day after the 4th, continuing on into the July 8,9 weekend.  BREEZY!  Temps will be rather cool for summer, so don’t expect to be comfortable swimming anywhere west side in the PNW during early July.  

In fact, we expect the first 10 days of July 2023 to run BELOW average in the temperature dept.  That goes for much of California, as well.  There are indications that it may begin to heat up after July 9; too early to peg that transition just yet.  

For today and early Tue, cold air aloft will spark a few more showers & thunderstorms, esp south of Salem/Eugene today and in the mountains.  Cloudiness and a possible shower will drift over NW WA & southern BC from a Low moving southwest over the Pacific Ranges of Canada.  By the Summer Solstice - Wed Jun 21 - sunshine will predominate the afternoons, with warmer, summer temperatures heading into the weekend.  An ‘easy’ onshore breeze will increase on Sunday, tapping down temps a bit, esp along the coast.  (Yes, an EF-0 tornado and funnel clouds were spotted around the region on Father’s Day.)

All of next week, Jun 26-30, looks DRY & warm, with increasing chance for thunderstorms/showers across the eastern basins & slopes of the Cascades esp after Thu. 

The first weekend of July 2023 - is trending cooler than the week before, with a strong onshore push of marine air, and increasing cloudiness as the 4th of July holiday gets underway.  Showers possible, too, esp over the Puget Sound on the 4th.  The balance of the short work week will continue on the cool side for early July given a chilly onshore breeze.

Adjustments are likely, so stop by again on Fri for another at what type of weather early July may bring.  Daylight hours will begin to shorten after this Wed.  

A chilly turn in the wx is on the way this weekend.  Warmer in about a week.  Details go best with a morn’n bev.  Got it?

Cooler pattern about to arrive across the entire PNW.  Clouds, and maybe a shower, hit NW WA & southern BC first later today; the rest of us will get the chills on Sunday.  Saturday should turn out fair, but breezy from the W-NW.  Sat night through Monday expect much cooler temps, some precipitation on/off across the region, and - as our great local forecasters have said - SNOW in the higher elevations of the Cascades. 

It will begin to warm up a bit on Wed, with a sunny, dry pattern returning for a spell.  Sunny & pleasant is now the outlook for the last weekend of June 2023.  Thunderstorms along the Cascades are possible Fri through Sat, as an upper-level Low spins moisture northward.  Eastern basins could also get a boomer or two.  Not so windy.  Again, temps in the mid 70s to lower 80s for Jun 24, 25.  Enjoy.

That pesky COOL onshore breeze will turn back on again by Monday Jun 26 and hold on through the end of Jun.  Hint: if timing is appropriate, growers should get treatments on before the winds return.  

July is trending to start out dry & pleasant.  High pressure over the eastern Pacific could be positioned just right to hold off any Pacific rain action and yet keep the region naturally 'air conditioned' as the month of July gets underway.  Way early yet, but as of now, the 4th of July holiday is looking FINE.  Cross your fingers and keep that Mug handy; maybe we’ll break the PNW tradition of a cool, showery 4th this year.