Well, another toaster week ahead, with temps likely running into triple digit range again, esp for portions of western OR & SW WA.  Iced Mug beverage time.

 

Hottest part of this week looks to be Wed-Sat, with Thu/Fri being the ‘oven' days.  It may be rather MUGGY by Thu/Fri, as well.  Agh.  Temps should cool down a few degrees by this coming Sunday, Aug 15.  An onshore flow will pick-up next Monday, cooling the region back down to reasonable.  Still dry.  

 

Week of Aug 16-20 is charting to be cooler, with a weak trough of cool air moving down the BC coast, then over the PNW early that week.  The Puget Sound will be the coolest area, but OR will get relief from the heat early in the week.  Breezy.  Temps should bump up a few degrees by week’s end.  In fact, the weekend of Aug 21,22 may end up on the hot side, esp for OR & eastern WA.  The overall wind pattern may set up the last full week of August to be pleasant and, yes, dry.  

 

Perseus Meteor Shower:  Peaks this week, Aug 11,12,13 between midnight and dawn. Search for viewing direction & timing.  Moonlight should be minimal. 

 

 

 

As often happens, the model outlook for next week has changed since our last report.  Get your Mug ready.  Here goes - - -

 

Summer Relief: cool, pleasant weekend ahead, with some showers, mainly north of Portland.  Clouds & SW breezy, as well.  Temps will begin to ramp back up after the weekend.  Yes, the opposite of earlier expectations (sounds like ‘economics chatter’).  Temperatures next week will top out in the upper 90s or low 100s for portions of western OR, a tad cooler up north.  Still, a heat wave type pattern.  The hot pattern could extend through the following weekend, although temps should drop a few degrees from peak highs of Aug 11,12.  (Yes, Patrons in BC will experience some heat.)  Yikes.

 

Sunshine city & warm-to-hot Aug 9 through Aug 25.  Some days will be hotter than others, as the onshore flow will vary, as will smoke issues.  No chance for precip is charted from Monday through at least Wed Aug 25.  Let’s hope THAT outlook changes.  None of this is favorable for fire concerns.  Double Yikes.

 

 

 

It’s Monday already?  Oops, the actual day of the week didn’t ‘register' in my retirement head ’til just now.  Mug-sorry about that. 

 

Warm-to-hot conditions will hold through Wed, then a cooler air mass will begin working its way down the Alaskan Panhandle & BC coast to bring us the first chance for rain across a broad area of the PNW later Thu & Fri.  The system will not be a strong one, just enough to get forecasters to write about rainfall (0.10"-0.15”), at least from Chehalis north into southern BC.  A shower or two could dampen the pavement around Portland/Salem before the whole spinning Low drifts east later on Fri.  It will be cooler.

 

The cooler air mass will bring on a truly pleasant 1st full weekend for August 2021.  Temps will bump up from Fri, but not into the heat level we have been experiencing of late.  The somewhat cooler pattern will hold into the week of Aug 9-13, with increasing chance for precip from possible thunderstorms east of the Cascades, as a weak Low centers just west of the OR coast by Wed the 11th.  As stated, a rather stable pattern will hold off another heat-up for the PNW.  Expect pleasant, seasonal temps through the weekend of Aug 14,15.  Coastal winds may let up quite a bit during this period - - - will the kites fly?

 

Warm-up expected during the week of Aug 16-20, esp east of the Cascades, with a shift in the pattern favoring an offshore flow component.  We’ll see.

 

Again, pardon the tardiness.

 

 

Last post for this month.  Not a lot of change, although some moisture, potentially, is peeking into the picture for southern BC & NW WA.  Let’s take a Mug minute.

 

Dry pattern remains, unless one gets caught under a thunderstorm, mainly along slopes and to the east of the Cascades.  Some of these storms may wander west enough to bring a clap of thunder to southern Willamette Valley over the next 2 days.  It will remain HOT, with a cooler pattern beginning on Sunday.  

 

Still dry & a few degrees cooler next week, with a Pacific Low moving towards Vancouver Is & the NW corner of WA later in the week.  There are charts that hint of precip for areas around the Puget Sound, north beginning over N Vanc Island late Wed Aug 4, spreading SE by Thu evening.  Showers, if they develop at all, could last Thu & Fri.  Sorry OR Patrons, we may only get a cloudy period; no precip.  COOLER, of course.  

 

The weekend of Aug 7,8 is trending dry everywhere; seasonal temps.  It will begin to warm up again late that weekend, continuing on through most of the following week, Aug 9-13 (yep, 90s again for western OR; tad cooler for the Sound).  After Fri the 13th, temps will again cool down with the onshore flow increasing across the region.

 

Extra Cream & Sugar:  we continue to get reports of the Song of Summer (think western field crickets) beginning in areas of the Willamette Valley.  At least something remains ’normal’.  Oh, and our Giant Pumpkin is growing at a steady 12-15 pounds every 24 hrs, coming in at 258 lb. today.  

 

 

 

Our 2021 Summer pattern remains steady.  At least we have the option to vary our mornin’ beverage, right?  BTW: western field cricket ’songs of summer’ are now being noted by Patrons!  Early this year, but that is expected given how warm it has been since Spring.  It's always an annual treat for WxCafé (TM) Patrons to take note of the chirps of our field crickets.  Listen.  Once the crickets get going, the 'songs of summer' will last into the Fall.

 

Sunshine, with some high clouds and the chance for thunderstorms along the southern OR Cascades (fire risk), will be in store through Wed.  Come Thu, the upper level pattern will shift just enough to partially open the oven door again, esp for OR & SW WA.  This time, temperatures will remain below record levels.  Still, Thu through Sat are likely to be the hottest days since our last heat wave.  Oregon: 90s to low 100s west of the Cascades; Puget Sound region the upper 80s are possible.  East side will turn hotter and remain so longer than the west, per usual.  Some SMOKE from CA & southern OR fires could tease its way over western valley locations. but not at the surface.  

 

Sunday Aug 1 should be a bit cooler that the previous 3 days, as an onshore wind will begin to kick-up again.  Next week is trending seasonal, with a notable afternoon NW wind holding temps at bay.   

 

A ‘repeat play’ may take place next Thu - Sat, Aug 5-7 with temps bumping back up several degrees heading into that weekend.  Similarly, Sunday the 8th, should begin the next cool down, this time, temps may drop a little below average - if models are correct and a cool Low drifts south just off the coast of OR/WA.  That pattern could lead into a MUGGY few days once that Low, if it forms at all, moves west of northern CA.  Too far out to make that call.

 

A Pacific Hurricane may form and re-fuel the SW desert monsoons, subsequently resulting in notable thunderstorm action moving into our eastern basins & Cascades after the 12th of Aug.  

Bottom line:  no rain is foreseen for the next couple of weeks, excluding a shower under a thunderstorm in the mountains or east side.