Special Statement

Posted by Rufus La Lone on

POTENTIAL WIND EVENT - Western Oregon.  Issued Tue Dec 24.
Heavy rainfall late Christmas Day and evening, then extending into Thu Dec 26 will lead to flooding issues in portions of western OR - head Nat’l Service Wx statements. It will be WINDY, as well.
⚠️ This specific alert concerns HIGH WINDS early Fri Dec 27th.  A Low pressure system making landfall along the OR coast, with a barometric reading as low as 979 mb is possible; such a reading would generate wind gusts over 50-55 mph west of the Cascades.  Ground will be super-saturated from inches of precipitation prior to the strong wind field.  Power outages from downed limbs & trees probable. Timing looks to be around 1 am to 4 am Friday.
Be prepared, just in case.  
-Rufus
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Monday December 23
Bullet forecast to get you back to holiday activity.
  • Today: break in the rain, but only for several hours.  Expect rain & breezy conditions beginning tonight through Tue morning.  
  • Christmas Eve:  Another break in the steady rain after the morning hours; scattered showers can’t be ruled out late afternoon.  
  • Christmas Day:  Timing may shift, but right now, expect steady rain to move in sometime during the late morning hours — this storm will be a real drenching system, so HEAVY RAIN up & down the OR, WA, BC region can be expected beginning overnight on into the next day. WINDY!  
  • Thu Dec 26:  Rain likely to continue, with a very brief let-up in southern OR.  Increasing moderate-to-heavy rain overnight into Fri.  Localized flooding possible.  WINDS could present gust over 35-45 mph in OR; stronger at the coast.  
  • Fri Dec 27:  Before daylight, WINDY in OR, rain turning to showers during the day.  Cooler.  Next system due in hours. 
  • Sat Dec 28:  Moderate-to-heavy rain in western OR.  Not as heavy in WA/BC.  Localized flooding probable.  
  • Sunday Dec 29:  Continued moderate-to-heavy rain.  Not as heavy in WA/BC.  Increasing flooding concern.  
  • Monday through Wed, New Year’s Day - showers diminishing, but notably colder.  Frost possible New Year’s Eve night.  Caution.
  • Thu Jan 2 - Sun Jan 5: Colder.  Chance for rain Friday.  Saturday system wet and possibly turning cold enough for a rain/snow mix at the surface; snow in the hills.  Chance for snow showers Sunday.  
Bottom Line:  High impact wx on the way late Christmas Day through the extended holiday weekend.  Multiple inches of precipitation!  FLOOD issues will be top-shelf in western OR; heed Nat’l Wx Service watches/warnings.  STRONG WINDS & power outages also in play.  Rain or snow east side, depending on elevation - travel safe!  COLDER AIR will begin to play a role in the weather as the new year gets going.  Modified Arctic Event remains on the charts, just delayed a few days.  Updates on this later.
M E R R Y   C H R I S T M A S !
"Christmas is a time when everyone wants their past forgotten and their present remembered."
-Rufus
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