Plenty of Rain, Wind & Mtn Snow

Per expectations, model solutions for the rainy period ahead have made adjustments.  Refill time and let’s review the potential for wet weather this November.

Enjoy today and possibly early Sat Nov 9, as temps will be mild and sport some sunshine, at times.  Rain will move inland later Sat, let up a bit early Sunday, then begin in earnest late Sunday through Veterans Day.  We should see some breaks on Tue, although cold air aloft is likely to spawn a few showers.  We may also get a few thunderstorm as the Veterans Day storm draws in cold air aloft.  

Wednesday Nov 13 looks VERY stormy with wind, rain, mountain snow - the whole fall storm show.  Heaviest rainfall is modeled for western WA, although the entire PNW will be wet.  Rapid creek, stream and river rises are likely, so be alert!  Eastern basins likely to get a tease of rain/snow mix, with snow in the higher elevations east side & northern ID.  Thu & Fri next week look damp, mainly from frequent showers; definitely cool temps.

The weekend of Nov 16,17 has charted as very wet, then not too wet - even dry- then a mix.  No definite pattern charting.  We will forecast a chance for precip, mainly over western WA & NW OR.  

We may catch a break in the ‘wet-every-day’ scenario on Monday Nov 18 and possibly most of Tue the 19th.  After that, WHAM, right back into steady rainfall, wind and mountain snow for a few more days.  In fact, Patrons should prepare for heavy rain and possible issues with flooding, esp in locations prone to stream/creek/river flooding.  Stay alert, please.  Moderate-to-heavy rain daily from Wed the 18th through Sunday the 24, if model’s verify.  We see LOW snow levels after Sat Nov 23rd storm passes, so expect snow on coast range & definitely Cascade passes.  

Ponder Point: per the discussion above about low snow levels around the 24th — we are monitoring a High pressure dome literally over the North Pole shifting SW over interior Alaska, joining up with a bitter cold air mass over the Chukchi Sea (another High pressure dome charting at 1042-1045 mb) which could lead to our key winter action indicator: a 'Yukon Dome' 1040 mb+.  We will keep an eye on such a development, as weather during Thanksgiving week could be quite interesting.  Just a ponder point for now, Patron.

Bottom line: plenty of classic fall rain, winds and mountain snow remains in the picture for much of November.