Monday September 23
Greetings. Let’s get this week going, shall we? Mug full?
Dry today and Tue, with tomorrow turning quite warm, esp in the Willamette Valley (85-90F possible). A notable WIND this afternoon & evening in western OR. On Wed, we can expect some rain and cooler temps, with showers lingering into Thu. Another weak system may provide additional precip Thu night into early Fri, but mainly north Chehalis.
🌀 We’ll drop this in here, as the event is likely to take place later this week. Between Cuba & the Yucatán, a rapidly developing Low is likely to deepen and become a hurricane by Wed. Conditions are favorable for strengthening into a strong hurricane. HELENE will be the name, if a circulation west of Africa doesn’t ’steal’ the name first. Anyway, HELENE is charting to track for landfall just north of Tampa FL overnight Thu, before heading into GA. Air travelers be aware that the ATL hub may be impacted Friday. Back to our region.
Our coming weekend looks quite pleasant. Dry & mild-to-warm (70s to 80s), along with rather WINDY in southern OR, west & east. Continued dry & mild the following week.
The big change begins on Fri Oct 4, if models verify. A warm, ‘water-logged' Pacific storm is charting to arrive on the 4th. Center Low pressure could enter the range of pressures that generate powerful winds, so we will monitor this system closely. For now, the storm tracks inside the 130W line, which usually is the first qualifier for our strong wind producers. Barometric center pressure could be in the 985-988 mb as the center crosses Vancouver Island ~ Friday night. Our dangerous wind storms have center pressures ~960s - mid 970s. As it stands now, that system could be our first notable wind and heavy rain storm of the fall season. Stay tuned.
WET the weekend of Oct 5,6. Mostly showers on Sunday and again on Mon Oct 7, to get another week started. It should dry out by Tue the 8th, with mild-to-warm temps for much of that week.
“It’s easier to get facts than to face them."
-Rufus
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