Dry Week, Wet Week

Monday October 21

Fairly dry week ahead, then a more steady supply of moisture arrives to wrap up the month.  Let’s take a gander, shall we?

Showers today will decrease overnight, yielding a decent week of generally dry, but chilly, weather.  Morning fog possible in the usual ‘foggy bottoms’ around the PNW.  While our expected shift into a steady wet pattern may start a day later than previous charts indicated, we do see a damp weekend ahead.

Indications are for our next organized Pacific storm to push onshore late Fri or early Sat, Oct 26.  This one will not be particularly strong, just a good wet system.  Breezy.  There should be a short break in the action during the early portion of Sunday the 27th, before another - more steady - damp pattern arrives.  And, this time, notably cooler temps will arrive.  Snow in the Cascades, possibly at or below pass level by Wed Oct 30.  Expect generally wet conditions all week, although heavy downpours are not charting at this time.  Yes, HALLOWEEN is looking chilly and damp. Quite normal for these here parts.

For the early part of November (beginning Fri the 1st), models have diverged from our earlier forecast - of course!  Now the charts indicate possible showers on Sat Nov 2, drying Sunday the 3rd, then, instead of heavy rain the next week, a dry High pressure ridge may form, blocking Pacific storms from entering the region through Nov 6.   We’ll see.  As long-time Patrons recall, models do REVERT back to earlier solutions when the actual period approaches.  So, for now, we will not “make book” on a forecast for early November.