Classic November Pattern

New month, new forecast, so let’s get this done.  Mug full?

The tight Low pressure center we thought would roll onshore yesterday is delayed until today, hence plenty moderate rainfall, esp over western OR.  Breezy, as well.  Cold air aloft will combine with sun breaks this afternoon to set off possible thunderstorms, so be safe.  The weekend ahead looks to present showers, at times, along with some sun breaks.  Not all wet; but definitely not all dry either.  

To start next week, the charts present a rather strong storm system moving onshore over northern Vancouver Is, so expect WINDY conditions around the Puget Sound Monday morning, along with moderate rainfall.  The ’tail’ of the rain field will clip NW OR, as well, just not as wet.  Oregon should turn breezy later in the afternoon, with quite a strong westerly in the Columbia River Gorge, as that Low tracks east.

Dry Break.  All indications are for Tue next week to be generally dry & on the cool side.  Dry again on Wed and on through the rest of next week.  Temps will warm into a fairly comfortable range for November.  Enjoy.  Oh, possible foggy bottoms in the mornings, late week.

The first weekend of November will start out dry,  but then turn WET later on Saturday, with the “front line” of a series of WET Pacific storms moving into the PNW.   

The exact timing of the heaviest rain period has shifted around on the charts, however, we should expect a VERY WET BLUSTERY period starting as early as Veterans Day, Mon Nov 11, or as late as Wed Nov 13.  Either way, the wx models have indicated heavy rainfall for a few days, once the pattern get ’set’.  We will forecast the whole week - Nov 11 through Nov 15 as “buckets of rain” time.  Localized flooding (leaf issues on storm drains, etc) quite probable.  Stay alert & heed any Nat’l Wx Services watches, etc.

The weekend of Nov 16,17 also trends WET, although less so on Sunday.  Early yet to confirm this, of course. 

Typically, the PNW’s wettest months of year are November, December, & January.  Right now, a classic wet November pattern is likely this year.