Classic November Pattern

Classic stormy November weather ahead.  We will get some decent rain-breaks, too.  Let’s review that latest outlook.  Mug ready?

Local weather specialists have been prepping folks around the PNW for today’s (Monday) rough conditions —>>  heavy showers, strong wind gusts, thunder/lightning, possible tornado action, all as a result of cold air aloft, upper & surface wind patterns, etc.  Stay alert, esp when driving or walking around.  Conditions will calm considerably as Tuesday unfolds.  Wednesday will be dry and cool, but a nice break in the rain.  Not for long, though, as the next quick moving system sweeps overhead on Thursday.  Models indicate drying again on Friday.

The coming weekend:  For all areas of the PNW, except for the far NW corner of WA, southern BC, we can expect mostly dry conditions - foggy at times, too.  A ridge of high pressure will protect the region from rain through the weekend and Mon Nov 13.  Monday should also dry out for NW WA & Vancouver BC area.

Next chance for showers is Tue, mainly north of Portland.  That said, each model run lessens the threat, so it may just be a cloud event.  Wed Nov 15 is trending WET.  A couple Lows off the coast, one to the north, the other off the CA coast, may combine to usher in rainfall around the PNW.  Were this to develop, it could end up rainy all the way through the weekend of Nov 18,19.  Stormy, at times, too.  California will be getting plenty of rain & localized flooding during this period (media will mention El Niño).  Note: some solutions push those wet system well north into BC, keeping much of the PNW on the dry side of the ‘jet’.  We favor the wet pattern, for now.

While the Nov 15-19 storms will super-slam CA, wrap-around moisture will move northward into the PNW to keep us damp early in the week of Thanksgiving.