The Weather Cafe ® by Rufus

Written by Rufus La Lone since 1994.

Wx Moods

Posted by Rufus La Lone on

Friday February 21
Quite a swing in weather ‘moods’ ahead, so grab your Mug and read on to find out what in the world are we suggesting.
Moody weather as in heavy rain, warm sunny days, cold winter-like conditions, and yes, foggy bottoms.  Here’s the layout.
Stormy Mood.  Mild temps today, esp in western OR today, with some cloudiness.   Patrons around the Puget Sound north will get increased rainfall today.  ALL the PNW will be hit by moderate-to-heavy rainfall later Saturday on through Mon Feb 24.  WINDY at times!!  Temps will remain on the mild side, given the southerly flow.
Spring Fever Mood.  After Monday’s rain & wind, the moody wx will shift to DRY and quite mild.  Western OR may even top into the 60-63 degree range Thu & Fri, Feb 26,27.  Again, dry for all of Vancouver Island, southern BC, Puget Sound, OR, etc.  It will induce Spring fever.
Gloomy Mood.  The weekend of March 1,2 is looking DAMP, cloudy & cooler.  Kinda’ gloomy, breaking our Spring fever.  Drat.
Cold Shoulder Mood.  The week of Mar 3-7 will bring on more rain, showers and notably colder temps - a real downer for those seeking Spring.  Early in the week, temps will be chilly, but it will warm-up a few degrees as the first week of March 2025 nears an end.  Still wet, though.
That’s about it for the next couple of weeks.  A 'mood for all seasons’.  (Sorry, that was really bad.)
“Despite what cartoonists make him look like, Uncle Sam is a gentleman with a very large “waste”.
-Rufus

Copyright © 1994-2025 - All Rights Reserved - The Weather Café ®
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Damp & Mild

Posted by Rufus La Lone on

Monday February 17
Seasonal weather ahead.  Simply put: plenty of rain, mountain snow and, generally, mild temps.  A morning Mug always hits the spot.  Here’s a quick rundown for the rest of February’s wx and a possible cold start to March.
This Week:  Showers will diminish today, opening up a fairly dry break through most of Tue.  Tuesday night, steady rain returns.  NOTE: for Oregon patrons, we may experience a quick shot of HIGH WINDS this Wednesday afternoon.  Don’t be surprised to feel gusts over 35 mph in the afternoon to early evening period, primarily along the central OR coast and in the Willamette Valley roughly south of Portland.  Drier Thu and most of Fri.  Rather damp over western WA & BC late Fri.  Mild temps. 
Coming weekend:  More rain, but after a nice ‘warm’ mid-50s Saturday afternoon (western OR, SW WA).  Moderate steady rain Sat night, all day Sunday into nighttime.  Breezy.
Week of Feb 24-28:  Trending wet Mon, Tue -> turning cooler.  Wed dry & cool; Thu dry early, turning wet mainly over the Puget Sound area, but it should be wet from Portland north.  Dry elsewhere.  Temps remain cool.  
First weekend of March 2025:  Looks damp and turning COLDER on Sunday, as a cold air mass moves in off the eastern Pacific.  Snow levels will lower dramatically, even into the coast range. Strong, cold onshore winds, as a surface Low moves into northern CA.  
Mar 3-7: Interesting possibilities.  A Yukon Dome of high pressure at 1054-1056 mb may develop, opening the door for a cold, frosty week.  We will monitor closely.  It’s not uncommon to have a cold air mass lingering around the PNW in early March - with low snow levels (1,500-3,000 ft), rain/snow mixed at the surface, along with hail and heavy showers.  Soils will chill down again.  
“It’s easy to tell when you’ve got a bargain - it doesn’t fit."
-Rufus

Copyright © 1994-2025 - All Rights Reserved - The Weather Café ®
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Going Normal

Posted by Rufus La Lone on

🌹 Valentine’s Day 2025
The PNW is just about done with subfreezing temps, snow, freezing rain, sleet — Winter.  Normal, relatively mild temps, with periods of rain and mountain snow, should round out the rest of February.  Mug up.
Snow & freezing rain issues this morning across the region.  By Valentine’s Day afternoon, temps will begin to moderate, melting the ice and slowly allowing a return to normal outdoor activity.  The usual cold spots will be slower to moderate -- Columbia Gorge, the far NW corner of WA and eastern basins.  Saturday should be mostly dry until late day, when the leading edge of a Pacific system - RAIN - moves onshore overnight into Sunday.  Moderate temps.
Next week is trending wet, with a series of Pacific storms moving onshore, spaced apart by merely a few hours.  Tue looks to be the drier of the 5 work days next week.  
The weekend of Feb 22,23 no longer charts as dry & mild; rather, it looks wet, esp for western WA & southern BC.  South of Eugene should remain mostly dry that weekend.  
Week of Feb 24-28 looks mostly dry after Monday, with Wed likely to be quite mild.  Southern OR could get some showers Thu from a system wetting northern CA.  We see RAIN returning late Fri Feb 28 to end the month.  March looks to start out wet.
“The most sensitive nerve in the body seems to be the one that runs to the pocketbook."
-Rufus

Copyright © 1994-2025 - All Rights Reserved - The Weather Café ®
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One More Week

Posted by Rufus La Lone on

Monday February 10
Only another week of cold temps, then a return to mild conditions around the PNW.  First, though, winter has one more act to present.  All set?  Mug on.
All weather eyes on the quick shot of modified Arctic air that is set to descend into the PNW.  A cold dome of High pressure - >1040 mb - is making its way out of the interior of Canada, as we script this forecast.  Cold, very low Dew Point air, will rush out of both the Fraser & Columbia Gaps, pooling west of the Cascades (upper teens, lower 20s Wed morning).  All that will be needed is moisture.  Well, as advertised, a system will move in from the SW Wed night with enough moisture to create a real winter mess, esp in western OR.  
We will forecast SNOW - about 1" to 1.25” as probable south of Salem, before FREEZING RAIN begins topping the thin snow layer.  Commuting Thu morning and on through the day will challenge the best of drivers, so put off any road travel for a day or so, as the winter impact will be short-lived.  Snow or freezing rain highly probable up the Gorge area, as a ‘finger’ of warmer air will melt falling snow, setting up the freezing rain scenario.  HEED Nat’l Wx Service announcements - their team will be on this, for sure.
While frozen precip of some form will be the threat across the region through most of Thu, given the cold air flow out off the Gorge, we don’t see a notable threat to the Puget Sound area at this time - just cold air.  All indications are that by overnight Thu or Valentine’s Day, conditions will thaw under a light rain or showers heading into Sat Feb 15.  Sunday looks damp, with higher amounts of rain falling over western WA.  The westerly flow of air should put a full stop to frozen precip issues, excluding the Cascades and eastern basins.  Time for mild.
The week of Feb 17-21 is charting to start out with a continuation of showers from the Sunday system, then turn dry and mild for balance of the week.  A scattered shower is possible east side mid-week, but that is iffy.
The weekend of Feb 22,23 is looking really decent, for February.  Dry with temps teasing the upper 50s, esp if there is limited foggy bottoms.  Daylight is getting longer by nearly 3 minutes EVERY DAY this month.  Lovin’ it!
Rain may return during the last week of February.  
“Too much uplift nowadays is confined to noses."
-Rufus

Copyright © 1994-2025 - All Rights Reserved - The Weather Café ®
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Snow before Rains Return

Posted by Rufus La Lone on

Friday February 7
Winter ☃︎ weather continues to be our focus, at least for the next 8 or 9 days.  ☕️ Hot Mug all set, so here goes.
For this weekend, cold air remains in place, so the system arriving tonight will present as snow early, turning to snow/rain mix over southern Willamette Valley south (because of a weak warmer southerly breeze); should remain as snow north zones, but not too much - it is a weak system.  Turning dry and chilly for the rest of the weekend.
Next week it will continue chilly on Monday, then another modified Arctic Air mass will drop in sometime overnight Monday (yep, our ‘Yukon Dome' of >1040 mb is developing this weekend).  Expect both the Fraser & Columbia Gaps to have windy outflows (although NOT the torrent of wind like last time out the Fraser Gap).  Potential for the coldest nights of the season Tue & Wed next week - upper teens to lower 20s - esp in wind sheltered areas.  
As you know, all we need is moisture to roll in off the Pacific to set up another round of winter issues.  Such is likely to be the case Wed night into Thu, Feb 12,13.  Currently, model solutions indicate a nighttime arrival, esp over western OR, which could equate to cold enough surface temps for a notable SNOW event across western OR & SW WA.  Outflow from the ‘Gaps’ will increase as a Low approaches the OR coast — but right now, models hold that Low off the coast, increasing the chance for SNOW to continue through most of the day on Thu. We’ll see.  —> Puget Sound area may NOT get much moisture from this system, as it could remain too far to your south.  However, EAST WINDS will howl.  Burrrrr.
Dry on Valentine’s Day — BUT, another storm will be setting up for a mixed precip weekend.  Cold air likely to remain west side for a bit, so SNOW and our freezing rain possible in many locations early Sat, then southerly winds should push colder surface air out of the PNW by Sunday.  Lots of ‘ifs’ in this scenario, so stay tuned here, as there’s lots of time to update the outlook.
Either way it goes right after Valentine’s Day, we do see a return to milder temps and VERY WET February weather for the second half of the month.  
“Being someone’s first love may be great but to be their last love is beyond perfect."
-Rufus

Copyright © 1994-2025 - All Rights Reserved - The Weather Café ®
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